Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.006036 0.006911 0.007927 0.009205 0.010793 0.012729 0.015312
2026-01-18 0.004884 0.005963 0.007339 0.009272 0.012002 0.015868 0.022060
2026-01-25 0.004126 0.005239 0.006745 0.009018 0.012531 0.018097 0.028454
2026-02-01 0.003550 0.004631 0.006154 0.008574 0.012575 0.019501 0.034133
2026-02-08 0.003121 0.004155 0.005659 0.008149 0.012497 0.020613 0.039853
2026-02-15 0.002910 0.003960 0.005542 0.008281 0.013378 0.023791 0.052425
2026-02-22 0.002670 0.003691 0.005270 0.008097 0.013617 0.025742 0.063616
2026-03-01 0.002451 0.003432 0.004979 0.007826 0.013616 0.027155 0.074720
2026-03-08 0.002277 0.003225 0.004750 0.007630 0.013720 0.028875 0.089181
2026-03-15 0.002199 0.003164 0.004755 0.007870 0.014826 0.033779 0.125643
2026-03-22 0.002144 0.003135 0.004810 0.008214 0.016272 0.040582 0.191684
2026-03-29 0.002101 0.003119 0.004885 0.008611 0.017980 0.049576 0.318518
2026-04-05 0.001993 0.002993 0.004761 0.008598 0.018718 0.056146 0.488466
2026-04-12 0.001898 0.002882 0.004657 0.008620 0.019599 0.064481 0.834230
2026-04-19 0.001784 0.002730 0.004456 0.008389 0.019657 0.069183 1.266839
2026-04-26 0.001663 0.002556 0.004199 0.007987 0.019074 0.070128 1.665931
2026-05-03 0.001554 0.002398 0.003962 0.007602 0.018454 0.070523 2.173439
2026-05-10 0.001506 0.002348 0.003933 0.007722 0.019577 0.083222 6.532314
2026-05-17 0.001435 0.002249 0.003797 0.007555 0.019646 0.089202 16.546762
2026-05-24 0.001362 0.002143 0.003638 0.007309 0.019368 0.092458 45.127632
2026-05-31 0.001300 0.002055 0.003512 0.007131 0.019305 0.097729 391.386694
2026-06-07 0.001277 0.002039 0.003533 0.007349 0.020881 0.121620 NaN
2026-06-14 0.001263 0.002038 0.003586 0.007661 0.023019 0.159950 NaN